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Assessing the Reliability and Validity of Large Language Models for Automated Assessment of Student Essays in Higher Education

Date
Publisher
arXiv
This study investigates the reliability and validity of five advanced Large Language Models (LLMs), Claude 3.5, DeepSeek v2, Gemini 2.5, GPT-4, and Mistral 24B, for automated essay scoring in a real world higher education context. A total of 67 Italian-language student essays, written as part of a university psychology course, were evaluated using a four-criterion rubric (Pertinence, Coherence, Originality, Feasibility). Each model scored all essays across three prompt replications to assess intra-model stability. Human-LLM agreement was consistently low and non-significant (Quadratic Weighted Kappa), and within-model reliability across replications was similarly weak (median Kendall's W < 0.30). Systematic scoring divergences emerged, including a tendency to inflate Coherence and inconsistent handling of context-dependent dimensions. Inter-model agreement analysis revealed moderate convergence for Coherence and Originality, but negligible concordance for Pertinence and Feasibility. Although limited in scope, these findings suggest that current LLMs may struggle to replicate human judgment in tasks requiring disciplinary insight and contextual sensitivity. Human oversight remains critical when evaluating open-ended academic work, particularly in interpretive domains.
Study at a glance
  • Question: How closely and consistently do large language models match human grades on authentic university student essays?
  • Setting and data: Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Italy; 67 Italian-language psychology master's essays, 2024–2025 academic year.
  • Method: Model evaluation comparing five language models against human raters across four rubric criteria over three prompt replications.
Why it matters

Traditional essay grading is time-consuming and prone to evaluator fatigue or bias. While large language models show promise for automated scoring, direct comparisons with human raters in authentic, discipline-specific higher education contexts remain limited.

Key findings
  • Human–model scoring agreement was consistently near zero across all models (Quadratic Weighted Kappa between -0.04 and 0.02) and lacked statistical significance.
  • Within-model grading stability across identical prompt repetitions was weak, with a median Kendall's W below .30 and no statistically significant concordance.
  • Models showed moderate agreement on structural coherence and originality, but negligible concordance on context-dependent criteria like pertinence and feasibility.

Summary drafted with AI from the full paper and may contain errors. See the full paper for details.

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